Week 6 live

Week 6 picks are up

An AI pick for every NFL game — side or total, line, confidence and the reasoning — published before kickoff and graded in public after: win rate, profit and ROI by week, by bet type and by confidence band. Safe, Value and Longshot parlays each Friday. Nothing is quietly dropped.

See Week 6 picks

Week 6 pick board

5 of 14 picks

Latest desk state · 14 games reviewed · no calls changed

Oct 16, 6:00 AM EDT

Kansas City Chiefs ML
ML-440
Conf62%
InitialInitial call publishedOct 13, 9:05 AM EDT
Los Angeles ChargersKansas City ChiefsSun 4:25 PM ET
San Francisco 49ers ML
ML-395
Conf62%
ReviewedPick and confidence unchangedOct 14, 6:00 AM EDT
Washington CommandersSan Francisco 49ersMon 8:15 PM ET
Pittsburgh Steelers -3
Spreadline -3 · -102
Conf60%
InitialInitial call publishedOct 13, 9:05 AM EDT
Pittsburgh SteelersTampa Bay BuccaneersSun 1:00 PM ET
Jacksonville Jaguars ML
ML-148
Conf58%
ReviewedPick and confidence unchangedOct 16, 6:00 AM EDT
Houston TexansJacksonville JaguarsSun 9:30 AM ET
New York Giants ML
ML-110
Conf58%
InitialInitial call publishedOct 13, 9:03 AM EDT
New Orleans SaintsNew York GiantsSun 1:00 PM ET

Full Week 6 boardAll 14 picks, analysis and parlays

Latest prediction update

28 ledger events

Reviewed — no changeOct 16, 6:00 AM EDT#1111
New York Jets at New England Patriots
This is material because it reports injury/availability uncertainty for a starting wide receiver ahead of a game. Evidence is limited: the supplied facts do not include an official game designation, details on practice participation, or any update to the original pick or confidence. No betting edge or probability is inferred. Pick and confidence stayed at the recorded baseline.
Evidence:ESPN · Oct 15, 2026, 3:48 PM EDT

Open the full timestamped ledger →

Prediction-impact news

12 reviewed sources

Reviewed · no changeReviewed Oct 16, 6:00 AM EDT
Patriots WR A.J. Brown said his status for Sunday's game against the Jets is "still up in the air" after returning to practice this week. Original pick for nyj-ne-w6 remains Under 43.5 with confidence 56.
Review: This is material because it reports injury/availability uncertainty for a starting wide receiver ahead of a game. Evidence is limited: the supplied facts do not include an official game designation, details on practice participation, or any update to the original pick or confidence. No betting edge or probability is inferred.
Limit: Review uses the publisher headline and description only. No full-article or final-availability verification; no quantified betting edge.
New York Jets at New England Patriots ESPN · Oct 15, 2026, 3:48 PM EDT
Reviewed · no changeReviewed Oct 16, 6:00 AM EDT
Raiders running back Ashton Jeanty, who has been battling ankle and foot injuries, said he feels "great" ahead of Sunday's game against the Bills.
Review: This is injury/availability news for a Raiders running back. It provides a positive player comment but no official game status, practice designation, or confirmed role change. Original pick Buffalo Bills -6 at 57 confidence is preserved; no betting edge or probability is inferred.
Limit: Review uses the publisher headline and description only. No full-article or final-availability verification; no quantified betting edge.
Buffalo Bills at Las Vegas Raiders ESPN · Oct 15, 2026, 5:09 PM EDT
Reviewed · no changeReviewed Oct 16, 6:00 AM EDT
Bears QB Caleb Williams is unsure if he will play and still has to go through protocols, though he logged full practice participation for the first time since Sept. 18 while recovering from a hamstring injury. The supplied game pick remains Atlanta Falcons +3 at 56 confidence.
Review: This is material because it reports injury and availability news for a starting quarterback. Evidence is limited to the supplied headline and description: Williams' game status is uncertain, he still must clear protocols, and his full practice was his first since Sept. 18. The item does not state a final availability decision or any betting edge, so the original pick and confidence are preserved unchanged.
Limit: Review uses the publisher headline and description only. No full-article or final-availability verification; no quantified betting edge.
Chicago Bears at Atlanta Falcons ESPN · Oct 15, 2026, 7:03 PM EDT

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Key players

0 material players

No player has a verified material link to a current pick.

Names appear only after a source review records the role, availability context and direction of model impact.

Last season, on the record

Full 2025 archive →

172-118-459.3% win rate

+$1,297.47 profit · +4.4% ROI on $29,400 risked

Every 2025 pick stayed on the sheet — wins, losses and all 4 pushes, graded to the cent with the same math the live season uses.

Raiders 2026 slate

7 home · 10 away · bye wk 13

1Sun Sep 13vs Miami DolphinsSun Sep 13 · 4:25 p.m. ET4:25 p.m. ET1:25 p.m. PTFOX
2Sun Sep 20@ Los Angeles ChargersSun Sep 20 · 4:05 p.m. ET4:05 p.m. ET1:05 p.m. PTCBS
3Sun Sep 27@ New Orleans SaintsSun Sep 27 · 4:25 p.m. ET4:25 p.m. ET1:25 p.m. PTCBS
4Sun Oct 4vs Kansas City ChiefsSun Oct 4 · 4:25 p.m. ET4:25 p.m. ET1:25 p.m. PTCBS
5Sun Oct 11@ New England PatriotsSun Oct 11 · 1:00 p.m. ET1:00 p.m. ET10:00 a.m. PTCBS
6Sun Oct 18vs Buffalo BillsSun Oct 18 · 4:25 p.m. ET4:25 p.m. ET1:25 p.m. PTCBS
7Sun Oct 25vs Los Angeles RamsSun Oct 25 · 4:25 p.m. ET4:25 p.m. ET1:25 p.m. PTFOX
8Sun Nov 1@ New York JetsSun Nov 1 · 1:00 p.m. ET1:00 p.m. ET10:00 a.m. PTFOX
9Sun Nov 8@ San Francisco 49ersSun Nov 8 · 4:05 p.m. ET4:05 p.m. ET1:05 p.m. PTCBS
10Sun Nov 15vs Seattle SeahawksSun Nov 15 · 4:05 p.m. ET4:05 p.m. ET1:05 p.m. PTCBS
11Sun Nov 22@ Denver BroncosSun Nov 22 · 4:25 p.m. ET4:25 p.m. ET1:25 p.m. PTCBS
12Sun Nov 29@ Cleveland BrownsSun Nov 29 · 1:00 p.m. ET1:00 p.m. ET10:00 a.m. PTFOX
13Bye week
14Sun Dec 13vs Los Angeles ChargersSun Dec 13 · 4:05 p.m. ET4:05 p.m. ET1:05 p.m. PTCBS
15Sun Dec 20vs Denver BroncosSun Dec 20 · 4:25 p.m. ET4:25 p.m. ET1:25 p.m. PTCBS
16Sun Dec 27@ Tennessee TitansSun Dec 27 · 4:05 p.m. ET4:05 p.m. ET1:05 p.m. PTFOX
17Sun Jan 3@ Arizona CardinalsSun Jan 3 · 4:05 p.m. ET4:05 p.m. ET1:05 p.m. PTCBS
18TBD TBD@ Kansas City ChiefsTBD TBD · TBDTBDTBDTBD

All times subject to NFL flexible scheduling. Week 18 date/time TBD.

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Picks land Wednesday morning, parlays Friday, graded results after the games. The same numbers you see here — nothing extra, nothing dropped.